THIS MONTH'S ISSUE
READ THE FEBRUARY ISSUE NOW! READ THE FEBRUARY ISSUE NOW!

Also available on any mobile device!
 
  

 

Archive

Stocks Up, Dollar Down, Risk is On

Wednesday, September 01, 2010
By Kira McCaffrey Brecht

Text size: A+ a

Sept 1 9:45 a.m. CT--U.S. stocks are rallying Wednesday, the U.S. dollar index and U.S. Treasuries are down and the risk appetite switch has been turned back on.

News that the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Index jumped higher than expected to 56.3 in July bolstered appetite for U.S. equities Wednesday.

BULLISH CHART PATTERN

Short, term the rally cements a minor bottom on the daily chart. The S&P 500 Index has blasted above a minor "triple bottom" formation on the daily chart, which has a measured move objective around 1090.00.

However, the more significant resistance level to watch is 1100.00. The index would need to conquer that ceiling near term in order to target a move back to the medium term technical range top at 1130.

FOREX MOVERS

Switching over to the forex arena, the Aussie/dollar and kiwi/dollar are posting healthy gains Wednesday. Those two pairs are considered "high beta" currencies and they benefit from global risk appetite.

Australia, in particular, is a major commodity exporter, with the majority of its goods heading to China. Australia has been hiking interest rates for months now and currently offers the highest rate among major industrialized nations at 4.50 percent.

CORRECTION OVER?

The Aussie/dollar saw a corrective retreat take hold throughout much of August, but the dominant technical uptrend off the May low was not harmed. The next major target for Aussie/dollar lies at the Aug. 6 peak at .9221.

With risk appetite back in fashion, that Aug. 6 high will be the next objective bullish traders are eying.

JOBS DATA FRIDAY

With the latest U.S. employment report due out on Friday, that news could either reinforce the renewed risk appetite and bullish attitude toward stocks, or it could severely dampen the view.

However, U.S. stocks rallied on good news Wednesday and will continue that rally if better-than-expected jobs data hits the tape on Friday morning.

USE CAUTION

Traders will need to be nimble and may want to consider evening up positions ahead of Friday's 7:30 a.m. CT release. Once the news emerges, a new short-term trend could appear.




Kira McCaffrey Brecht is managing editor at SFO. Brecht has been writing about the financial markets since 1991. Posts during her career include Chicago bureau chief at Futures World News, market analyst at Bridge News and technical analyst at MMS International. She has passed Level I and Level II CMT exams from the Market Technicians Association.

Print |



COMMENTS
There are no comments at this time. Be the first to add your comment below!

ADD YOUR COMMENT
Email:
Name:
State:
Comment: